CS Credibility Systems
Polygraph evidence evaluator
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Professional Review Tool

Polygraph Evidence Evaluator

ESS-to-Bayesian Translator for Professional Review. Document Empirical Scoring System inputs, selected likelihood ratio assumptions, and how the evidence shifts the prior probability.

Safety and ethics

This tool supports transparent evidence documentation. It does not determine deception, truthfulness, guilt, innocence, admissibility, or diagnostic certainty. Outputs depend on examiner-entered assumptions and selected likelihood ratios.

1. Case Details

2. ESS Inputs

3. ESS Report Text Import Assistant

ESS report text import assistant. Paste report text or upload a plain text file. This assistant does not perform OCR and does not claim direct compatibility with proprietary software.

Extracted Values Preview

No ESS report text extracted yet.

Imported values must be checked against the original ESS report before professional use.

4. ESS Evidence Weight Engine

Local JavaScript source tables generate provisional conservative documentation aids from ESS model, grand total score, and classification. These are not validated ESS normative likelihood ratios unless replaced with research-derived tables.

Suggested Bayes factor / LR-
Suggested evidence direction-
Evidential impact category-

Displayed assumptions

-

5. Prior Probability Settings

6. Bayesian Evidence Settings

Use Bayes factor and likelihood ratio terminology carefully. Enter the assumed evidential weight and select the direction it supports, or use the ESS engine suggestion with examiner review.

Prior odds deception-
Prior odds truthfulness-
Posterior odds-

7. Posterior Probability

Applied evidence weight-
Posterior probability-
Decision threshold-

Evidential Impact Panel

Prior probability-
Percentage point shift-
Impact category-

Prior

Posterior

Evidence shift: -

The posterior probability is conditional on the selected prior, scoring model, correction settings, and assumed evidential weight.

8. Decision Utility Settings

9. Statistical Corrections

10. Sensitivity Analysis

Alternative priorLRPosterior probabilityShift

12. Printable Report